An insight across Ohio's 88 counties
Bachelor's-degree share and the presidential vote
Across Ohio's 88 counties the 2024 Republican presidential margin runs lower where a larger share of adults holds a bachelor's degree (Spearman rho -0.72; partial rho -0.29 with log population held fixed; -0.70 without Cuyahoga and Franklin; n = 88).
Where the counties sit
One dot per county: Share 25+ with a bachelor's degree or higher in 2024 across the bottom, the 2024 presidential margin in points up the side. Every dot links to that county's own result for that election.
| Figure | Value | What it is |
|---|---|---|
| Counties measured | 88 | the measure in 2024 against the presidential vote in 2024 |
| Spearman rho | -0.72 | the rank correlation across all counties measured |
| Partial Spearman rho | -0.29 | the same rank correlation with log population held fixed |
| Pearson r | -0.74 | the linear correlation, for comparison with the rank figure above |
| Spearman rho without Cuyahoga and Franklin | -0.70 | n = 86 |
Across all 88 counties the rank correlation is -0.72. With Cuyahoga and Franklin set aside, 86 counties, it is -0.70.
Election by election
The same pair of measures at each presidential election the measure reaches. The panels are drawn for 4 of the 6 elections measured, by a fixed rule that keeps one figure inside its size budget; the table below carries every one.
| Election | Measure year | Counties | Spearman rho | In the figure above |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 2000 | 88 | -0.07 | Drawn |
| 2008 | 2009 | 88 | -0.14 | Not drawn |
| 2012 | 2012 | 88 | -0.16 | Not drawn |
| 2016 | 2016 | 88 | -0.60 | Drawn |
| 2020 | 2020 | 88 | -0.69 | Drawn |
| 2024 | 2024 | 88 | -0.72 | Drawn |
The measure, county by county
Share 25+ with a bachelor's degree or higher in 2024, in five steps of one ink from the lowest counties to the highest. No party color: this map draws a measure, not a vote.
The counties at each end
The five counties highest on the measure and the five lowest, with what each one voted in 2024.
| County | End | Share 25+ with a bachelor's degree or higher | Presidential margin, 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware County | Highest on this measure | 59.4% | R+6.7 |
| Warren County | Highest on this measure | 45.6% | R+31.8 |
| Franklin County | Highest on this measure | 42.1% | D+28.7 |
| Hamilton County | Highest on this measure | 41.8% | D+15.0 |
| Greene County | Highest on this measure | 41.7% | R+20.0 |
| Holmes County | Lowest on this measure | 11.1% | R+69.7 |
| Harrison County | Lowest on this measure | 11.5% | R+55.7 |
| Monroe County | Lowest on this measure | 12.1% | R+60.3 |
| Meigs County | Lowest on this measure | 12.2% | R+57.4 |
| Vinton County | Lowest on this measure | 13.4% | R+59.0 |
What this does not say
This is a pattern across counties, not a fact about any voter.
County measures mostly rise with county size, so the partial figure holds log population fixed; the figure without Cuyahoga and Franklin shows whether the two largest counties carry the pattern on their own.
Derived as a ratio of ACS component estimates; no margin of error is propagated through the ratio.
Sources
The measure's own source and the election results this site holds, which every figure above is drawn from.
- American Community Survey 5-year estimates, county · U.S. Census Bureau · accessed 2026-09
- Presidential results by county, and Ohio's statewide results: Ohio in presidential elections, where every year names its own source.
Cite and data
Cite this page as:
Cracked Buckeye (Open Shower Co), "Bachelor's-degree share and the presidential vote", https://crackedbuckeye.com/insights/bachelors-degree-share/, built 2026-09-22, accessed [date].
Machine-readable: /api/politics/insights/bachelors-degree-share.json (open JSON, CC BY 4.0 for the compilation; the underlying records keep their own terms) · How to cite · Report a correction · Built 2026-09-22
This page has a JSON twin: /api/politics/insights/bachelors-degree-share.json — the record itself, with every statistic on this page and the figure specs behind the pictures.