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Mahoning County · Presidential elections

Mahoning County in presidential elections, 1852-2024

Mahoning County has voted in 44 presidential elections in this record, from 1852 to 2024. It went Democratic 23 times and Republican 21 times. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2020, 2 in a row; the last Democrat to carry it was Hillary Clinton in 2016, by 3.3 points. In 2024 Donald J Trump won it with 54.34% of the vote, a 9.4-point margin over Kamala D Harris. Measured as the Republican share minus the Democratic share, the county was 1.8 points more Democratic than Ohio, and it ranked 79th of 88 counties from most Republican to most Democratic.

Mahoning CountyOhio's presidential recordWhat's on your ballot?

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What 44 elections add up to

Each line is worked out from the table further down. "Margin" there is the winner's share minus the runner-up's; "lean" is the Republican share minus the Democratic share.

With the nation
Mahoning County voted for the candidate who won the presidency in 32 of 44 elections, 10th among Ohio's 88 counties by that count (tied with 2 others). The most recent miss was 2020, when it voted for Donald J Trump and the country elected Joe Biden.
With Ohio
It voted the same way as Ohio as a whole in 32 of 44 elections. The last time it parted from the state was 2016: Hillary Clinton carried the county, Donald J. Trump carried Ohio.
Years it changed sides
The party carrying the county changed 11 times: in 1856, 1892, 1896, 1912, 1920, 1936, 1956, 1960, 1972, 1976 and 2020.
Closest result
1972: Richard Nixon (Republican) over George McGovern by 1.33 points, 1,716 votes.
Widest result
1924: Calvin Coolidge (Republican) with 68.12%, 51.2 points ahead of John W. Davis.
Biggest move toward the Republicans
From 1916 to 1920 the margin moved 38.7 points toward the Republicans, from D+7.0 to R+31.8.
Biggest move toward the Democrats
From 1932 to 1936 the margin moved 52.8 points toward the Democrats, from R+8.7 to D+44.1.
Outside the two parties
John P. Hale (Free Soil) took 26.75% in 1852, 1,033 votes, the largest share any candidate outside the two major parties has won in the county.
Where it stands among the 88
Ranked by margin each year, from most Republican (1st) to most Democratic, the county stood highest in 1924 (7th of 88, R+51.2) and lowest in 1996 (88th of 88, D+35.0). Since 2000 it has moved from 87th to 79th.
Votes and turnout
3,861 votes were counted for president in 1852 and 112,705 in 2024. Turnout in 2024 was 70.03% of registered voters, 73rd among the 88 counties (Ohio: 71.71%).

Every election at a glance

One bar per election, oldest at the left; bar height is the winning margin, color the winner's party. The dot rows mark the years the county matched Ohio's winner and the nation's. Each bar opens that year's full count.

Presidential election results by margin, MahoningMahoning's presidential margin has run from 1852 to 2024; bar height is the winning margin, color the winning party.1852: Franklin Pierce (D), 21.8-point margin1852: matched Ohio’s winner1852: matched the nation1856: John C. Frémont (R), 9.0-point margin1856: matched Ohio’s winner1856: missed the nation1860: Abraham Lincoln (R), 18.1-point margin1860: matched Ohio’s winner1860: matched the nation1864: Abraham Lincoln (NU), 11.4-point margin1864: matched Ohio’s winner1864: matched the nation1868: Ulysses S. Grant (R), 10.3-point margin1868: matched Ohio’s winner1868: matched the nation1872: Ulysses S. Grant (R), 19.5-point margin1872: matched Ohio’s winner1872: matched the nation1876: Rutherford B. Hayes (R), 2.9-point margin1876: matched Ohio’s winner1876: matched the nation1880: James A. Garfield (R), 9.7-point margin1880: matched Ohio’s winner1880: matched the nation1884: James G. Blaine (R), 14.6-point margin1884: matched Ohio’s winner1884: missed the nation1888: Benjamin Harrison (R), 6.9-point margin1888: matched Ohio’s winner1888: matched the nation1892: Grover Cleveland (D), 4.3-point margin1892: missed Ohio’s winner1892: matched the nation1896: William McKinley (R), 11.4-point margin1896: matched Ohio’s winner1896: matched the nation1900: William McKinley (R), 9.2-point margin1900: matched Ohio’s winner1900: matched the nation1904: Theodore Roosevelt (R), 34.4-point margin1904: matched Ohio’s winner1904: matched the nation1908: William Howard Taft (R), 6.9-point margin1908: matched Ohio’s winner1908: matched the nation1912: Woodrow Wilson (D), 4.8-point margin1912: matched Ohio’s winner1912: matched the nation1916: Woodrow Wilson (D), 7.0-point margin1916: matched Ohio’s winner1916: matched the nation1920: Warren G. Harding (R), 31.8-point margin1920: matched Ohio’s winner1920: matched the nation1924: Calvin Coolidge (R), 51.2-point margin1924: matched Ohio’s winner1924: matched the nation1928: Herbert Hoover (R), 28.3-point margin1928: matched Ohio’s winner1928: matched the nation1932: Herbert Hoover (R), 8.7-point margin1932: missed Ohio’s winner1932: missed the nation1936: Franklin D. Roosevelt (D), 44.1-point margin1936: matched Ohio’s winner1936: matched the nation1940: Franklin D. Roosevelt (D), 34.2-point margin1940: matched Ohio’s winner1940: matched the nation1944: Franklin D. Roosevelt (D), 33.2-point margin1944: missed Ohio’s winner1944: matched the nation1948: Harry S. Truman (D), 24.8-point margin1948: matched Ohio’s winner1948: matched the nation1952: Adlai Stevenson (D), 12.0-point margin1952: missed Ohio’s winner1952: missed the nation1956: Dwight D. Eisenhower (R), 4.0-point margin1956: matched Ohio’s winner1956: matched the nation1960: John F. Kennedy (D), 22.5-point margin1960: missed Ohio’s winner1960: matched the nation1964: Lyndon B. Johnson (D), 45.8-point margin1964: matched Ohio’s winner1964: matched the nation1968: Hubert Humphrey (D), 20.6-point margin1968: missed Ohio’s winner1968: missed the nation1972: Richard Nixon (R), 1.3-point margin1972: matched Ohio’s winner1972: matched the nation1976: Jimmy Carter (D), 23.6-point margin1976: matched Ohio’s winner1976: matched the nation1980: Jimmy Carter (D), 10.8-point margin1980: missed Ohio’s winner1980: missed the nation1984: Walter F. Mondale (D), 17.6-point margin1984: missed Ohio’s winner1984: missed the nation1988: Michael Dukakis (D), 26.5-point margin1988: missed Ohio’s winner1988: missed the nation1992: Bill Clinton (D), 26.7-point margin1992: matched Ohio’s winner1992: matched the nation1996: Bill Clinton (D), 35.0-point margin1996: matched Ohio’s winner1996: matched the nation2000: Al Gore (D), 25.2-point margin2000: missed Ohio’s winner2000: missed the nation2004: John Kerry (D), 25.9-point margin2004: missed Ohio’s winner2004: missed the nation2008: Barack Obama (D), 26.6-point margin2008: matched Ohio’s winner2008: matched the nation2012: Barack Obama (D), 28.4-point margin2012: matched Ohio’s winner2012: matched the nation2016: Hillary Clinton (D), 3.3-point margin2016: missed Ohio’s winner2016: missed the nation2020: Donald J Trump (R), 1.9-point margin2020: matched Ohio’s winner2020: missed the nation2024: Donald J Trump (R), 9.4-point margin2024: matched Ohio’s winner2024: matched the nation1852187218921912193219521972199220122024
Presidential election results by margin, MahoningMahoning's presidential margin has run from 1852 to 2024; bar height is the winning margin, color the winning party.Source: Wikipedia · as of 2026-09-18 · Download this chart
The numbers behind this figure, as a table
YearWinnerPartyMarginMatched Ohio's winnerMatched the nation
1852Franklin PierceD21.8 pointsmatchedmatched
1856John C. FrémontR9.0 pointsmatchedmissed
1860Abraham LincolnR18.1 pointsmatchedmatched
1864Abraham LincolnNU11.4 pointsmatchedmatched
1868Ulysses S. GrantR10.3 pointsmatchedmatched
1872Ulysses S. GrantR19.5 pointsmatchedmatched
1876Rutherford B. HayesR2.9 pointsmatchedmatched
1880James A. GarfieldR9.7 pointsmatchedmatched
1884James G. BlaineR14.6 pointsmatchedmissed
1888Benjamin HarrisonR6.9 pointsmatchedmatched
1892Grover ClevelandD4.3 pointsmissedmatched
1896William McKinleyR11.4 pointsmatchedmatched
1900William McKinleyR9.2 pointsmatchedmatched
1904Theodore RooseveltR34.4 pointsmatchedmatched
1908William Howard TaftR6.9 pointsmatchedmatched
1912Woodrow WilsonD4.8 pointsmatchedmatched
1916Woodrow WilsonD7.0 pointsmatchedmatched
1920Warren G. HardingR31.8 pointsmatchedmatched
1924Calvin CoolidgeR51.2 pointsmatchedmatched
1928Herbert HooverR28.3 pointsmatchedmatched
1932Herbert HooverR8.7 pointsmissedmissed
1936Franklin D. RooseveltD44.1 pointsmatchedmatched
1940Franklin D. RooseveltD34.2 pointsmatchedmatched
1944Franklin D. RooseveltD33.2 pointsmissedmatched
1948Harry S. TrumanD24.8 pointsmatchedmatched
1952Adlai StevensonD12.0 pointsmissedmissed
1956Dwight D. EisenhowerR4.0 pointsmatchedmatched
1960John F. KennedyD22.5 pointsmissedmatched
1964Lyndon B. JohnsonD45.8 pointsmatchedmatched
1968Hubert HumphreyD20.6 pointsmissedmissed
1972Richard NixonR1.3 pointsmatchedmatched
1976Jimmy CarterD23.6 pointsmatchedmatched
1980Jimmy CarterD10.8 pointsmissedmissed
1984Walter F. MondaleD17.6 pointsmissedmissed
1988Michael DukakisD26.5 pointsmissedmissed
1992Bill ClintonD26.7 pointsmatchedmatched
1996Bill ClintonD35.0 pointsmatchedmatched
2000Al GoreD25.2 pointsmissedmissed
2004John KerryD25.9 pointsmissedmissed
2008Barack ObamaD26.6 pointsmatchedmatched
2012Barack ObamaD28.4 pointsmatchedmatched
2016Hillary ClintonD3.3 pointsmissedmissed
2020Donald J TrumpR1.9 pointsmatchedmissed
2024Donald J TrumpR9.4 pointsmatchedmatched

Year by year, 1852 to 2024

Newest first. Rank is the county's place among Ohio's counties that year from most Republican (1) to most Democratic, by lean. Lincoln's 1864 National Union ticket is counted as Republican and Horace Greeley's 1872 Liberal Republican ticket, which the Democrats also nominated, as Democratic; 1852 had no Republican ticket, so it has no lean or rank.

YearCarried byPartyShareRunner-upMarginLeanOhioRankWith OhioWith the nation
2024 Donald J TrumpRepublican54.34%Kamala D Harris 9.4R+9.4R+11.2 79YesYes
2020 Donald J TrumpRepublican50.35%Joseph R Biden Jr. 1.9R+1.9R+8.0 81YesNo
2016 Hillary ClintonDemocratic49.87%Donald Trump 3.3D+3.3R+8.1 82NoNo
2012 Barack ObamaDemocratic63.52%Mitt Romney 28.4D+28.4D+3.0 85YesYes
2008 Barack ObamaDemocratic62.33%John McCain 26.6D+26.6D+4.6 85YesYes
2004 John KerryDemocratic62.58%George W. Bush 25.9D+25.9R+2.1 86NoNo
2000 Al GoreDemocratic60.65%George W. Bush 25.2D+25.2R+3.5 87NoNo
1996 Bill ClintonDemocratic61.53%Robert Dole 35.0D+35.0D+6.4 88YesYes
1992 Bill ClintonDemocratic51.52%George H.W. Bush 26.7D+26.7D+1.8 85YesYes
1988 Michael DukakisDemocratic62.87%George H.W. Bush 26.5D+26.5R+10.8 88NoNo
1984 Walter F. MondaleDemocratic58.21%Ronald Reagan 17.6D+17.6R+18.8 88NoNo
1980 Jimmy CarterDemocratic50.88%Ronald Reagan 10.8D+10.8R+10.6 87NoNo
1976 Jimmy CarterDemocratic60.53%Gerald Ford 23.6D+23.6D+0.2 88YesYes
1972 Richard NixonRepublican49.69%George McGovern 1.3R+1.3R+21.6 86YesYes
1968 Hubert HumphreyDemocratic55.38%Richard Nixon 20.6D+20.6R+2.3 86NoNo
1964 Lyndon B. JohnsonDemocratic72.92%Barry Goldwater 45.8D+45.8D+25.9 86YesYes
1960 John F. KennedyDemocratic61.27%Richard Nixon 22.5D+22.5R+6.6 88NoYes
1956 Dwight D. EisenhowerRepublican51.98%Adlai E. Stevenson 4.0R+4.0R+22.2 85YesYes
1952 Adlai StevensonDemocratic56.02%Dwight D. Eisenhower 12.0D+12.0R+13.5 85NoNo
1948 Harry S. TrumanDemocratic61.76%Thomas E. Dewey 24.8D+24.8D+0.2 86YesYes
1944 Franklin D. RooseveltDemocratic66.58%Thomas E. Dewey 33.2D+33.2R+0.4 88NoYes
1940 Franklin D. RooseveltDemocratic67.09%Wendell Willkie 34.2D+34.2D+4.4 88YesYes
1936 Franklin D. RooseveltDemocratic71.41%Alf Landon 44.1D+44.1D+20.6 88YesYes
1932 Herbert HooverRepublican52.35%Franklin D. Roosevelt 8.7R+8.7D+2.9 15NoNo
1928 Herbert HooverRepublican63.82%Al Smith 28.3R+28.3R+30.4 68YesYes
1924 Calvin CoolidgeRepublican68.12%John W. Davis 51.2R+51.2R+34.6 7YesYes
1920 Warren G. HardingRepublican63.85%James M. Cox 31.8R+31.8R+19.9 18YesYes
1916 Woodrow WilsonDemocratic51.59%Charles Evans Hughes 7.0D+7.0D+7.7 49YesYes
1912 Woodrow WilsonDemocratic33.03%William Howard Taft 4.8D+4.8D+14.1 21YesYes
1908 William Howard TaftRepublican51.18%William Jennings Bryan 6.9R+6.9R+6.2 38YesYes
1904 Theodore RooseveltRepublican59.97%Alton B. Parker 34.4R+34.4R+25.4 27YesYes
1900 William McKinleyRepublican53.57%William Jennings Bryan 9.2R+9.2R+6.6 37YesYes
1896 William McKinleyRepublican55.27%William Jennings Bryan 11.4R+11.4R+4.8 24YesYes
1892 Grover ClevelandDemocratic49.87%Benjamin Harrison 4.3D+4.3R+0.1 57NoYes
1888 Benjamin HarrisonRepublican51.31%Grover Cleveland 6.9R+6.9R+2.3 35YesYes
1884 James G. BlaineRepublican55.59%Grover Cleveland 14.6R+14.6R+4.0 26YesNo
1880 James A. GarfieldRepublican53.33%Winfield Scott Hancock 9.7R+9.7R+4.7 33YesYes
1876 Rutherford B. HayesRepublican48.47%Samuel J. Tilden 2.9R+2.9R+1.1 41YesYes
1872 Ulysses S. GrantRepublican59.13%Horace Greeley 19.5R+19.5R+7.1 27YesYes
1868 Ulysses S. GrantRepublican55.13%Horatio Seymour 10.3R+10.3R+8.0 43YesYes
1864 Abraham LincolnNational Union55.71%George B. McClellan 11.4R+11.4R+12.7 45YesYes
1860 Abraham LincolnRepublican57.51%Stephen A. Douglas 18.1R+18.1R+10.0 31YesYes
1856 John C. FrémontRepublican54.16%James Buchanan 9.0R+9.0R+4.3 38YesNo
1852 Franklin PierceDemocratic48.51%John P. Hale 21.8—— —YesYes

Turnout, 1996-2024

Ballots cast in the November general election per registered voter, as the Ohio Secretary of State reports them. This record holds county turnout from 1996 on.

YearRegisteredBallots castTurnout
2024163,093114,22270.03%
2020165,259119,96872.59%
2016166,107117,63670.82%
2012170,079122,80172.2%
2008178,270128,91472.31%
2004194,903134,28968.9%
2000179,546116,88965.1%
1996171,659122,30871.25%

Sources

Data from Wikipedia, CC BY-SA 4.0: 1852 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1856 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1860 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1864 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1868 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1872 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1876 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1880 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1884 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1888 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1892 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1896 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1900 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1904 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1908 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1912 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1916 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1920 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1924 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1928 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1932 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1936 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1940 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1944 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1948 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1952 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1956 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1960 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1964 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1968 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1972 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1976 United States presidential election in Ohio · 1980 United States presidential election in Ohio

  1. oh_1984_general_president_county.xlsx -- Ohio Secretary of State Past Election Results portal · Ohio Secretary of State · 1984-11-06 · accessed 2026-09-17
  2. County Presidential Election Returns 2000-2024 (V20) · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL), Harvard Dataverse · 2000-11-07 · accessed 2026-09-17
  3. U.S. Electoral College results by year · National Archives and Records Administration

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