{
  "caveats": [
    "This is a pattern across counties, not a fact about any voter.",
    "County measures mostly rise with county size, so the partial figure holds log population fixed; the figure without Cuyahoga and Franklin shows whether the two largest counties carry the pattern on their own.",
    "Derived as a ratio of ACS component estimates; no margin of error is propagated through the ratio.",
    "The decennial count of the same share stops at 2020, four years from this election, so the American Community Survey five-year estimate is the measure drawn here."
  ],
  "claims": [],
  "drift": [
    {
      "n": 88,
      "spearman": 0.446,
      "x_year": 2009,
      "year": 2008
    },
    {
      "n": 88,
      "spearman": 0.494,
      "x_year": 2012,
      "year": 2012
    },
    {
      "n": 88,
      "spearman": 0.737,
      "x_year": 2016,
      "year": 2016
    },
    {
      "n": 88,
      "spearman": 0.793,
      "x_year": 2020,
      "year": 2020
    },
    {
      "n": 88,
      "spearman": 0.818,
      "x_year": 2024,
      "year": 2024
    }
  ],
  "extremes": {
    "high": [
      "holmes",
      "adams",
      "meigs",
      "vinton",
      "perry"
    ],
    "low": [
      "cuyahoga",
      "franklin",
      "hamilton",
      "lucas",
      "montgomery"
    ]
  },
  "id": "white-alone-share",
  "n": 88,
  "notes": "Drafted by scripts/politics/insights.py fit acs5.white_alone_pct. Every statistic is recomputed from data/exports/ by `insights.py check` and by validate.py, and a drift over 0.005 fails the build.",
  "partial_spearman_logpop": 0.555,
  "pearson": 0.865,
  "reading": "Across Ohio's 88 counties the 2024 Republican presidential margin runs higher where a larger share of residents is white alone (Spearman rho 0.82; partial rho 0.56 with log population held fixed; 0.81 without Cuyahoga and Franklin; n = 88).",
  "sources": [
    {
      "accessed": "2026-09",
      "publisher": "U.S. Census Bureau",
      "title": "American Community Survey 5-year estimates, county",
      "url": "https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/acs"
    }
  ],
  "spearman": 0.818,
  "title": "White-alone share and the presidential vote",
  "updated": "2026-09-19",
  "without_big_two": {
    "n": 86,
    "spearman": 0.806
  },
  "x": {
    "label": "Share white alone",
    "measure_id": "acs5.white_alone_pct",
    "source_id": "acs5",
    "unit": "pct",
    "url": "https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/acs",
    "year": 2024
  },
  "y": {
    "label": "Presidential margin (R minus D, points)",
    "measure_id": "elec.pres.margin_rep_minus_dem",
    "year": 2024
  },
  "type": "insight",
  "figures": [
    "https://crackedbuckeye.com/api/politics/figures/insight-white-alone-share.json",
    "https://crackedbuckeye.com/api/politics/figures/insight-white-alone-share-drift.json",
    "https://crackedbuckeye.com/api/politics/figures/insight-white-alone-share-map.json"
  ],
  "county_results_api": "https://crackedbuckeye.com/api/politics/results/county/{county_slug}.json",
  "_meta": {
    "generated": "2026-09-22",
    "license": "CC BY 4.0 for the compilation; each source keeps its own terms",
    "cite": "Cracked Buckeye (Open Shower Co), \"White-alone share and the presidential vote\", https://crackedbuckeye.com/insights/white-alone-share/, built 2026-09-22, accessed [date].",
    "schema": "https://crackedbuckeye.com/api/politics/schema.json",
    "url": "https://crackedbuckeye.com/insights/white-alone-share/",
    "api": "https://crackedbuckeye.com/api/politics/insights/white-alone-share.json"
  },
  "cite": "Cracked Buckeye (Open Shower Co), \"White-alone share and the presidential vote\", https://crackedbuckeye.com/insights/white-alone-share/, built 2026-09-22, accessed [date].",
  "url": "https://crackedbuckeye.com/insights/white-alone-share/",
  "api": "https://crackedbuckeye.com/api/politics/insights/white-alone-share.json",
  "license": "CC BY 4.0 for the compilation; each source keeps its own terms",
  "generated": "2026-09-22",
  "schema": "https://crackedbuckeye.com/api/politics/schema.json"
}